Proposition fever has hit Las Vegas as the Superbowl draws closer. What are the Sports books offering?
The Overtime Factor
The odds against the Super Bowl going into overtime are about 15-1 to 20-1. Bettors will have the opportunity to lay shorter prices that the game will not go into overtime, probably in the neighborhood of minus-600 to minus-800.
Last year at this time, a sports book opened “no overtime” at minus-600. The Las Vegas Hilton opened the same prop at minus-700; and Harrah’s had it at minus-850. A good bet at those prices.
The Turnover Factor
The over/under on fumbles lost by both teams is set at 1 1/2. Last year, the Hilton opened “under 1 1/2” at minus-130 with “over 1 1/2” even money. The over/under on interceptions by both teams is usually 2 1/2 with a heavier premium on the under. Last year at the Hilton, the under was minus-180, the over plus-150.
The Last Two Minutes Scoring Factor
These odds are usually a function of total number of points both teams are expected to score in the game. Two years ago the over/under in the Super Bowl was 38 1/2 points, and the odds on “there will be a score in the last two minutes of the first half” were minus-200. Last year, the over/under in the game was 47 points, and the odds that there would be a score in the last two minutes of the first half were higher, at minus-250.
If you figure about 50 points will be scored in the Super Bowl, this is a case for betting that there will be a score in the last two minutes of the first half at odds of minus-220 to minus-235.
General Odds
The Venetian and the Las Vegas Hilton sports books recently released their odds to win next year’s Super Bowl, the XL, scheduled for Feb. 4, 2007, in Miami.
The Venetian: The Colts as 4-1 favorites, The Patriots (8-1), The Broncos (12-1), The Cincinnati Bengals (14-1) and The Seahawks (14-1).
The Hilton: The Colts at 5-2, The Patriots (10-1), The Chargers (10-1), The Steelers (12-1), The Bengals (15-1) and The Broncos (15-1).
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Posted on: January 30, 2006
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